Stakes Profile: Preakness
By Dana Byerly, Hello Race Fans Co-founder

Originally published on May 16, 2018

The Preakness is a 9.5 furlong race for 3-year-olds at Pimlico. First run in 1873, it’s currently the middle race in the Triple Crown series.

Below is a snapshot of what has produced Preakness winners since 1991 including odds, bettors’ choice, field size, running styles, prior race location, prior race finish position, number of days since the last race as well as Brisnet Speed Figures.

The charts and graphs are interactive. Hover over or touch bars and lines for more information.

All data is via Equibase with the exception of Brisnet ratings.

Note for mobile users: Charts and graphs are best viewed on bigger devices, but viewing them in landscape/horizontally will slightly improve your viewing experience.

Preakness Winners Odds & Payouts 1991-2019

Odds are shown as listed in the charts. Hover-over or touch each bar for $2 payout.


Average $1 Odds: $4.60
Median $1 Odds: $3.10

Average $1 Odds: $5.70
Median $1 Odds: $2.90


Average $2 Win: $10.70
Median $2 Win: $8.20

Average $2 Win: $11.70
Median $2 Win: $7.80

Preakness Winners Bettors’ Choice and Field Size 1991-2019

Bettors’ Choice is the ranked order of the field by final odds: The favorite is the first choice, the second favorite is the second choice and so on. For example, 1991 winner Hansel was 4th choice in a 8 horse field. Hover-over or touch the bars for more information


Average Choice of Winner: 2.48
Average Field Size: 10.86
Average Favorite Finish Position: 2.46

Average Choice of Winner: 2.83
Average Field Size: 10.92
Average Favorite Finish Position: 3.36

Winning Preakness Running Styles 1991-2019

To read the charts below, 0 on the vertical axis is the lead, any distance behind the leader is below 0 and any distance above 0 is the amount the leader is ahead of the next horse. At the bottom are the points of call as they correspond to the charts. Each line is a horse, and you can hover over the point of call for each line to see more information about the horse.

For example, if you hover over the bottom-most line in the first chart at the 1/2 mile mark you’ll see that in the 2007 winner Curlin was 13 lengths behind the leader at this point in the race.

Stalkers/pressers have had the slight edge over closers since 1991 with both running styles performing well. The last ten years have been even distributed between speed, stalkers and off-the-pace runners, each winning 30% of the time.

Position at the 1/2 mile mark…
Speed: In the lead
Presser/Stalker: Between .1 and 3 lengths off leader
Off the pace: Between 3 and 6 lengths off the leader
Deep closer: More than 6 lengths off the leader

Below is a closer look at winning running styles by decade.

Winning Preakness Running Styles 1991-1999
Winning Preakness Running Styles 2000-2009
Winning Preakness Running Styles 2010-2019

Preakness Winners Last Track Raced & Days Since 1991-2019

Preakness winners have overwhelmingly come from Churchill Downs. Rachel Alexandra (2009) made her prior start in the Kentucky Oaks but all others came from the Kentucky Derby. Three winners made their prior start at Aqueduct.

Days Since Last Race 1991-2019
Average Days Since Last Race: 15.97
Median Days Since Last Race: 14

Winners Placing in Prior Race 1991-2019

Just under half (44.8%) of Preakness winners won their prior race and 69% of the winners finished in the money, or no worse than third, last out.

Preakness Brisnet Ratings 1991-2019

Below is a look at Brisnet speed ratings of Preakness winners. Learn how the figures are calculated and keep up with weekly ratings for stakes races.

Winners Last Three Brisnet Speed Ratings 1991-2019

The chart below represents the last three Brisnet Speed Ratings earned by the Preakness winner, and includes the winning figure for the Preakness. In instances where a starter did not have three consecutive Brisnet Speed Ratings leading into the Preakness, the line starts with most recent.

Coming into the Preakness 1991-2019
Brisnet speed ratings - Preakness
Brisnet Speed Averages 1991-2018
Winning Brisnet Speed: 106
Brisnet Speed Prior Race: 102
Brisnet Speed 2 Back: 103
Brisnet Speed 3 Back: 99

Winners that came in on an improved Brisnet Speed Rating performed slightly better in the last 10 years winning 50% of the time compared to 40% for regressed ratings.

Winners Last Three Brisnet Speed Ratings 2010-2019


The Preakness has generally been a formful race where favorites have outperformed the generally accepted win rate of 35% to win 44.8% of the time. The average winning odds since 1991 are 4.6-1 with a median of 2.95-1 and an average $10.60 payout for a $2 win ticket. Since 2010 those averages have improved slightly while the medians dropped.

The winner on average has been almost 3rd choice (2.48) since 1991 and has ticked up slightly since 2010 to a 2.83. The favorite has an average finish position of 2nd (2.46) since 1991, but since 2010 has dropped to 3rd (3.36).

Stalkers/Pressers have performed best since 1991 winning 34.4% of the time with closers not far behind at 31%. The last ten years have been evenly distributed.

Winners have overwhelming come from the Kentucky Derby since 1991. Field size has been above the 2017 average of 7.7 starters with an average of 10.86 starters since 1991 and 10.92 starters since 2010.

Just over half of the Preakness winners came in on a regressed Brisnet Speed Rating from their prior race since 1991 but in the last ten runnings 50% have come in on an improved speed rating.

Bettor’s Choice
Favorites and 2nd choice have performed well
Last Raced At
Churchill Downs
Brisnet Speed Ratings
Improved speed rating two back
Running Style
Stalkers or closers

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