2022 Chicago Stakes Cheatsheet
By TwinSpires Editorial Team, Sponsored Content
By Vance Hanson (TwinSpires.com)
1. BAYERNESS (5-1) – Three-time winner over the surface has done some of her best work on off-tracks, which she’s unlikely to encounter here, and win opening night in the Roxelana S. wasn’t much more than a paid workout in those conditions against only two rivals; still, her record since concentrating on sprints last season is quite commendable; the flipside is that she hasn’t been facing graded quality types much during that span; figures to be within striking range from the start, but likely needs career best to pull it off.
2. PENNYBAKER (8-1) – Godolphin homebred could not have looked any better in her U.S. debut, dominating an overmatched field in the April 16 Heavenly Cause S. at Laurel; that was her first run on dirt, a surface unavailable to her in France, and she has great potential to keep improving in similar spots this season as she’s closely related to Met Mile (G1) winner Frosted and the juvenile champion Midshipman; she does shorten up a furlong here, but that wouldn’t have been a factor in the Heavenly Cause; expecting her to be a much shorter price than the ML, but still very likeable.
3. LADY ROCKET (5-2) – Appears the most likely to be setting the pace, and the cut back to seven furlongs figures to help after she tired in the one-mile Ruffian (G2) at Belmont; that race was won by Search Results, who later ran an incredible third in the Ogden Phipps (G1) after taking out champion Letruska in a duel; although the possibility of her sneaking away from this field is there, it’s worth noting she’s done her best work against fields with a lot less substance than this one; proven capable over this track, but giving off some mixed signals.
4. BELL’S THE ONE (7-2) – Dependable veteran has hit the exacta in seven of nine starts locally, the two exceptions being the last two editions of the Derby City Distaff (G1), a race she won in 2020; that kind of company might simply be a touch too tough for the six-year-old these days, but she certainly fits this group well and figures right there with the right pace setup.
5. KALYPSO (15-1) – Multiple graded stakes winner earned the highest accolade when taking the La Brea (G1) in December, but that race generally a bit inflated as its restricted to three-year-old fillies; no real threat to win either the Santa Monica (G2) or Madison, and just scraped home last time in the Memorial Day Sprint at Lone Star, a much softer spot she wasn’t even favored in despite her past accomplishments; deeper waters here.
6. FOUR GRACES (8-1) – Earned a career-best 99 Brisnet Speed rating when getting caught late in the Derby City Distaff by the more accomplished closer Obligatory; like others, she’s excelled over this track in the past; the downside is that she’s been settling for minor awards for the better part of two years, her last win occurring in the Beaumont (G3) at Keeneland in July 2020; one of several likely to be making her move late, but worth noting her last two wins were accomplished in wire-to-wire fashion.
7. SCONSIN (2-1) – A gem of consistency over this track with five wins and two seconds from eight starts, and in her rivalry with Bell’s the One she’s come out best over this track; she had a right not to have been at her absolute best in last month’s Winning Colors (G3), having not been out since mid-September, but her class prevailed as she’s sizzled six panels in 1:08; interestingly, seven furlongs has never really suited her as much in the past (8-1-2-1), though most of those were not over this strip; a little bit of food for thought at a short price.