Stakes Profile: Wood Memorial
By Dana Byerly, Hello Race Fans Co-founder
Below is a snapshot of what has produced Wood Memorial winners since 1991 including odds, bettors’ choice, field size, running styles, prior race location, prior race finish position, number of days since the last race as well as Brisnet Speed Figures.
The charts and graphs are interactive. Hover over or touch bars and lines for more information.
Wood Memorial Winners Odds & Payouts 1991-2019
Odds are shown as listed in the charts. Hover-over or touch each bar for $2 payout.
Average $1 Odds: $2.30
Median $1 Odds: $1.80
Average $1 Odds: $3.50
Median $1 Odds: $2.50
Average $2 Win: $7.30
Median $2 Win: $6.40
Average $2 Win: $9.00
Median $2 Win: $7.00
Wood Memorial Winners Bettors’ Choice and Field Size 1991-2019
Bettors’ Choice is the ranked order of the field by final odds: The favorite is the first choice, the second favorite is the second choice and so on. For example, 1991 winner Cahill Road was 1st choice in a 10 horse field. Hover-over or touch the bars for more information
Average Choice of Winner: 1.93
Average Field Size: 8.93
Average Favorite Finish Position: 2.17
Average Choice of Winner: 2.10
Average Field Size: 8.6
Average Favorite Finish Position: 2.3
Winning Wood Memorial Running Styles 1991-2019
To read the charts below, 0 on the vertical axis is the lead, any distance behind the leader is below 0 and any distance above 0 is the amount the leader is ahead of the next horse. At the bottom are the points of call as they correspond to the charts. Each line is a horse, and you can hover over the point of call for each line to see more information about the horse.
For example, if you hover over the bottom-most line in the first chart at the 1/2 mile mark you’ll see that in the 2004 winner Tapit was 9.25 lengths behind the leader at this point in the race.
Stalkers/pressers have won the Wood Memorial 51.7% of the time since 1991. That trend has continued over the last 10 years with 50% of winners stalking/pressing the pace. Off-the-pace runners have taken a step forward in the last 10 years, winning 40% of the time.
Position at the 1/2 mile mark…
Speed: In the lead
Presser/Stalker: Between .1 and 3 lengths off leader
Off the pace: Between 3 and 6 lengths off the leader
Deep closer: More than 6 lengths off the leader
Below is a closer look at winning running styles by decade.
Wood Memorial Winners Last Track Raced & Days Since 1991-2019
Unlike other Derby prep races, the majority of winners have not come from the host track. Gulfstream Park has produced almost 60% of the Wood Memorial winners since 1991 with host track Aqueduct coming in a distance second with 17.9% of the winners. Within the last 10 years 50% of the winners have come from Gulfstream Park and 90% have come from a track other than Aqueduct. Winners have generally raced within the last 28 days and 51.7% won their prior race.
Average Days Since Last Race: 28.24
Median Days Since Last Race: 28
Winners Placing in Prior Race 1991-2019
Wood Memorial Brisnet Ratings 1991-2019
The chart below represents the last three Brisnet Speed Ratings earned by the Wood Memorial winner, and includes the winning figure for the Wood Memorial. In instances where a starter did not have three consecutive Brisnet Speed Ratings leading into the Wood Memorial, the line starts with most recently available rating.
Winning Brisnet Speed: 104
Brisnet Speed Prior Race: 99
Brisnet Speed 2 Back: 98
Brisnet Speed 3 Back: 93
The last ten years have been roughly on trend with winners split evening between an improved and regressed Brisnet Speed Rating.
The Wood Memorial has been a formful race where favorites have outperformed the generally accepted win rate of 35% to win 48.2% of the time. The average winning odds since 1991 are 2.3-1 with a median of 1.8-1 and an average $7.30 payout for a $2 win ticket. Since 2010 those averages have crept up to 3.5-1 and $9.00 to win. In the last 10 years three winners have paid over $10.
The winner on average has been the 2nd choice (1.93) since 1991 and has roughly remained steady since 2010 at 2.1. The favorite has an average finish position of 2nd (2.17) since 1991 and 2.3 in the last 10 years.
Stalkers/Pressers have performed best since 1991 winning 51.7% of the time. In the last 10 runnings they’ve continued the trend winning 50% of the time. Off-the-pace runners have performed well in the last 10 years, winning 40% of the time.
Winners have predominately come from Gulfstream Park since 1991 while winners from the host track of Aqueduct have only won 17.2% of the time. Field size has been above the 2017 average of 7.7 starters with an average of 8.93 starters since 1991 and 8.60 starters since 2010.
A alight majority of winners came in on an improved Brisnet Speed Rating from their prior race since 1991.